Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.407875e-01 3.283866e-01 0.431479 0.559693 0.712790 0.887734 1.100689
2026-01-04 1.254260e-01 2.242124e-01 0.361289 0.555670 0.814494 1.137962 1.563058
2026-01-11 5.958466e-02 1.479770e-01 0.295270 0.532912 0.881713 1.351215 2.006206
2026-01-18 2.673275e-02 9.925190e-02 0.246924 0.516814 0.948573 1.566601 2.470398
2026-01-25 1.185272e-02 7.068631e-02 0.217983 0.519558 1.038244 1.817985 3.000193
2026-02-01 3.790316e-03 4.586801e-02 0.182042 0.497694 1.081948 2.002806 3.446860
2026-02-08 1.375918e-03 3.545113e-02 0.172487 0.521214 1.200906 2.306982 4.080391
2026-02-15 2.619161e-04 2.492422e-02 0.154949 0.522351 1.278684 2.550408 4.635208
2026-02-22 5.249663e-05 2.117536e-02 0.156180 0.564640 1.434576 2.926550 5.404928
2026-03-01 9.903236e-07 1.667841e-02 0.150962 0.589830 1.559650 3.258238 6.119135
2026-03-08 NaN 1.185897e-02 0.139208 0.595063 1.645228 3.527608 6.746061
2026-03-15 NaN 7.497642e-03 0.123068 0.583341 1.694073 3.735743 7.283124
2026-03-22 NaN 5.165277e-03 0.115266 0.594156 1.792894 4.039394 7.990559
2026-03-29 NaN 3.205640e-03 0.105198 0.594975 1.870212 4.309277 8.653867
2026-04-05 NaN 1.526061e-03 0.090055 0.573601 1.895582 4.487113 9.173565
2026-04-12 NaN 6.499550e-04 0.078063 0.557910 1.930960 4.683620 9.729359
2026-04-19 NaN 2.978653e-04 0.071848 0.561464 2.011244 4.965991 10.435702
2026-04-26 NaN 6.040321e-05 0.060512 0.538686 2.024550 5.122377 10.934299
2026-05-03 NaN 2.606427e-05 0.060048 0.563727 2.159025 5.514514 11.842431
2026-05-10 NaN 2.537239e-06 0.054964 0.565019 2.232871 5.792405 12.562071
2026-05-17 NaN 1.438067e-06 0.058361 0.609747 2.422867 6.302236 13.690962
2026-05-24 NaN 8.308662e-08 0.058223 0.636363 2.567008 6.726582 14.680686
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.054354 0.641898 2.655585 7.044508 15.492905